Bitcoin neared $65,000 on July 10 as numerous variables combined to fuel the latest upside.
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Bitcoin prices rallied on Friday, July 10, approaching $65,000 as a range of factors contributed to the digital currency’s upward movement.
The world’s most prominent cryptocurrency rose to more than $64,600, according to Coinbase data from TradingView. At this point, it had climbed more than 15% after trading at less than $58,000 on July 1.
When explaining these latest price movements, several analysts pointed to multiple variables.
Brett Sifling, wealth manager for Gerber Kawasaki Wealth & Investment Management, was in this camp.
“As always, I think there are a few reasons why Bitcoin has rallied up to the $65,000 level,” he stated via email. “First, it seems to be a relief bounce after the string of bad news over the past few weeks has dried up such as Michael Saylor liquidating some of his Bitcoin stash.”
“Second, I’ve seen some chatter about the newest version of the Crypto Clarity Act may come as early as next week. Regulatory clarity could be another reason for the bounce,” Sifling continued.
“Lastly, the Circle news today that it received regulatory approval to establish its own national trust bank was also largely seen as positive for the entire crypto industry,” he noted, speaking to the company’s recent announcement.
“A combination of some positive news for the crypto industry, along with a relief bounce, seems to be what’s driving the Bitcoin rally.”
Dave Liebowitz, head of growth at private credit platform Cap, also weighed in, stating that “There are a few reasons” for bitcoin’s recent gains.
“First, the uncertainty around Michael Saylor selling his Bitcoin has largely passed,” he said, referring to the $200 million transaction recently made by the crypto celebrity’s company Strategy.
“Before he sold, the market was questioning whether mounting pressure might force him to reduce his holdings,” Liebowitz noted. “Now that he has already sold, that uncertainty is gone and investors are no longer waiting to see if or when he might sell.”
“That removes a key overhang on the market.”
The analyst cited another causal factor, stating that “In addition, Bitcoin ETFs have continued to see strong inflows, including single-day inflows of $221 million to more than $300 million and $1.347 billion in weekly inflows.”
Stronger Market Sentiment
Some analysts took a different tack, with one focusing on the changing mindset of investors when explaining bitcoin’s latest gains.
“Bitcoin’s latest move appears to be driven by a combination of improving market sentiment and renewed risk appetite, rather than any single catalyst,” Himanshu Sahay, cofounder and CTO of crypto lender Arch, claimed via email. “After a period of heightened uncertainty, even modest positive developments can encourage investors to rotate back into higher-risk assets like Bitcoin, particularly when liquidity returns to the market.”
However, he noted that the recent runup may be more of a short-term price movement, stating that “I don’t think this move alone signals a broader trend.”
“Bitcoin has historically experienced sharp rallies within wider periods of volatility, so it’s important not to overinterpret short-term price action. Whether this develops into a sustained recovery will depend on how macroeconomic conditions evolve and whether investor confidence continues to build over the coming weeks,” added Sahay.
“For now, this looks more like the market responding to an improving backdrop than a definitive shift in direction.”
Improving Market Factors
Another expert named Julio Moreno offered a perspective that focused on market factors, stating that “Both speculative and spot demand are contracting at much less aggressive levels than last month.”
The chart below helps depict this development:
Bitcoin spot and perpetual futures demand
CryptoQuant
Moreno, head of research for CryptoQuant, added via Telegram that this time of the year may be particularly beneficial for the digital currency, stating that “Positive seasonal factors may support prices during July.”
He noted that “Over the past ten years, July has been one of Bitcoin’s more reliably positive months, closing higher in most years shown. The effect is pronounced in down-cycles: in the bear-market years of 2018 and 2022, Bitcoin rallied roughly +20% and +17% in July even as the broader trend stayed weak.”
The chart below illustrates this activity:
Bitcoin’s monthly returns between 2016 and 2026
CryptoQuant
Short-Term Outlook
Tim Enneking, managing partner of Psalion, offered some input on the price movements of the world’s most valuable digital currency, as well as a short-term outlook.
“BTC continues to struggle to put in a bottom,” he noted via email.
“The channel of lower highs and lower lows continues, although the lows are dropping less each time. (For instance, the most recent on 30 June was only just over $300 lower than the prior low on 25 June.)”
“Against that background, the recent move up to almost $65k is not material,” the analyst added. “However, crossing $65.6k would result in a ‘higher high’ relative to the level hit on 22 June and could be meaningful.”
“Of course, to be convincing, BTC would have to take out the $67.3k lower high hit on 15 June,” he emphasized.
Source: Original Article
