Bitcoin Technical Analysis for Today

Bitcoin futures are currently trading at 108,165, exactly aligned with today’s bullish threshold. Traders following the tradeCompass methodology may consider initiating long positions at this level, keeping in mind the outlined strategy below.

tradeCompass Summary – June 30, 2025

Bitcoin Futures – Bullish Partial Profit Targets

Take profits incrementally at logical levels:

• 108,380 – Thursday’s Value Area High, ideal for quick risk reduction.
• 108,545 – Aligns with Wednesday’s Point of Control (POC), an area where significant trading volume occurred.
• 108,675 – Matches today’s VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price), indicating fair market valuation based on volume and offering resistance or support depending on market sentiment.
• 108,830 – Wednesday’s Value Area High, another key volume-driven level.
• 109,085 – Just below today’s Point of Control (POC), marking today’s highest activity.
• 109,555 – Slightly beneath today’s Value Area High, another high-volume region signaling potential resistance.
• Runner: Traders might consider keeping a runner targeting 110,735, an influential POC from June 11th.

Bitcoin Futures – Bearish Partial Profit Targets

If price drops below 107,650, consider bearish trades with partial profits at:

• 107,380 – Near the first lower standard deviation of Friday’s VWAP, a logical point for quick partial profit.
• 107,160 – Just above Friday’s Value Area Low, another significant level for profit-taking.
• 106,750 – Corresponding with the POC from June 20th, suggesting historically relevant trading activity.
• Runner: For extended bearish positions, 106,275 aligns with June 24th’s POC.

Market Context and tradeCompass Methodology

Currently, Bitcoin futures are consolidating within a clearly defined multi-day range. This explains why today’s profit targets are closely spaced. Such conditions require patience and strategic profit-taking at outlined volume-driven levels.

Educational Insight: Understanding Value Areas and VWAP

The Value Area represents the price range where most of the trading volume occurred, specifically capturing approximately 70% of all activity within a session. Its high (VAH) and low (VAL) boundaries frame the primary zones of market acceptance, while the Point of Control (POC) marks the most traded price, often acting as a powerful magnet.

VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price) provides traders with an average price based on volume, serving as a dynamic indicator of market sentiment. Prices above VWAP typically indicate bullish dominance, whereas prices below suggest bearish control.

Core Principles of tradeCompass

• Enter only one trade per direction per tradeCompass.

• After the second partial profit is secured, consider moving the stop-loss to the entry price, safeguarding your remaining position.

• Avoid overtrading; adhere strictly to defined thresholds.

• Utilize flexible entry confirmations according to personal risk preferences.

Professional Disclaimer for Crypto Traders

This analysis is intended as decision-support content, not financial advice. Trading futures involves significant risk, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. Always trade responsibly and according to your individual risk management strategies.

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