TLDR
- Ethereum price dropped over 20% in June 2025, following the same pattern as June 2021
- Both June 2021 and June 2025 started above $2,600 before crashing toward $2,000
- Historical data suggests ETH could fall another 20% to $1,600-$1,700 range
- 2021 recovery began in July and led to 200% gains over five months
- Rate cut rumors and Iran-Israel resolution could trigger July 2025 recovery
Ethereum has experienced a sharp decline in June 2025, with the cryptocurrency falling more than 20% from its monthly highs. The price action mirrors what happened in June 2021, when ETH followed a similar pattern before launching into a major bull run.
Both June 2021 and June 2025 began with Ethereum trading above $2,600. In 2021, the altcoin suffered multiple declines throughout the month and crashed below $2,000 by month’s end. The price eventually found its bottom around $1,600 before the decline was over.
The current June 2025 performance shows the same trajectory. ETH started the month above $2,600 before bears took control of the market. The cryptocurrency has since crashed by more than 20% and appears positioned for further declines.
Technical Analysis Shows Potential Bottom
Using historical performance as a guide, the Ethereum price decline may not be finished. If June 2025 repeats the June 2021 pattern, ETH could suffer another 20% crash before the month ends. This would put the bottom somewhere between $1,600 and $1,700.
The weekend trading session pulled Ethereum back to levels not seen in over one month. This movement aligns with the established bearish trend that has dominated June trading. Mounting sell pressure continues to weigh on the cryptocurrency.
The decline tracks with broader market weakness that has affected risk assets. ETH’s performance as the largest altcoin often sets the tone for the broader altcoin market.
Recovery Timeline Based on 2021 Pattern
The 2021 pattern provides a roadmap for potential recovery timing. Ethereum’s recovery in 2021 did not begin until July, after the June decline had run its course. The subsequent rally lasted through November 2021.
During that five-month period, Ethereum rose over 200% to establish a new all-time high. The rally marked the beginning of altcoin season, with ETH leading the charge for alternative cryptocurrencies.
Investors are already looking toward July 2025 with optimism. Rate cut rumors have circulated in financial markets, which could benefit risk assets like Bitcoin and Ethereum.
A potential resolution to the Iran-Israel conflict could also provide market support. Geopolitical tensions often weigh on cryptocurrency markets, and their resolution typically leads to increased risk appetite.
Market Conditions Support Potential Rally
The current market setup shares similarities with the conditions that preceded the 2021 bull run. Ethereum’s role as the largest altcoin makes it a natural trigger for broader altcoin rallies.
If the historical pattern holds, July could mark the beginning of a recovery phase. The 2021 experience showed that once ETH began rallying, it sustained momentum for several months.
Technical indicators suggest the current decline may be nearing completion. The cryptocurrency’s price action continues to follow the 2021 template closely.
Market participants are monitoring key support levels around $1,600-$1,700. These levels represent potential turning points based on historical analysis.
The broader cryptocurrency market often follows Ethereum’s lead during altcoin seasons. ETH’s performance typically sets the stage for how alternative cryptocurrencies will perform.
Current trading volumes and market sentiment indicators align with the 2021 pattern. The setup suggests conditions may be forming for a similar rally sequence.
Ethereum’s price action in June 2025 has followed the same trajectory as June 2021, with the cryptocurrency potentially setting up for a July recovery that could mirror the 200% gains seen in the previous cycle.
