July 24 (Reuters) – Gold held steady on Friday as Brent crude retreated from above $100 a barrel, while investors assessed developments in the Middle East conflict and their implications for inflation ahead of the U.S. interest rate decision next week.
Spot gold was unchanged at $4,046.10 per ounce by 09:17 a.m. EDT (1317 GMT), after falling about 2% in the previous session. The contract was up 0.7% for the week, supported by dip buying earlier in the week.
U.S. gold futures for August delivery gained 0.3% to $4,063.60.
“Gold and silver are carving out a base around $3,950 and $55, respectively, despite relentlessly higher yields. While a stop-loss move below can’t be ruled out on a sharp war escalation, gold feels ready to move back higher… A Fed clearly on hold next week would help,” said Tai Wong, an independent metals trader.
Brent crude oil prices fell over 3%, after rising over 7% to settle above $100 in the previous session for the first time since May after Iran-aligned Houthis said they struck two Saudi oil tankers in the Red Sea. [O/R]
Bullion has fallen about 23% since the U.S.-backed war with Iran began in late February, pressured by expectations that war-driven inflation could keep interest rates higher for longer.
While gold is seen as a hedge against inflation, higher rates typically weigh on the non-yielding metal.
Investors now await the U.S. Federal Reserve’s policy meeting outcome next week, when it is largely expected to keep rates unchanged.
Traders are pricing in about an 80% chance of a U.S. rate hike in September, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. [FEDWATCH]
“Recent strength in bullion appears driven largely by dip-buying and short covering. This follows the sharp correction from record highs earlier this year… Elevated oil prices and rising yields are likely to cap any recovery, leaving $4,000 as the key near-term level to watch,” analysts at ING said in a note.
Among other metals, spot silver rose 0.4% to $57.92 per ounce, platinum fell 1.3% to $1,582.40, and palladium lost 1% to $1,244.24.
(Reporting by Noel John in Bengaluru; Editing by Vijay Kishore)
By Noel John
Source: Original Article
